11 months ago
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BAKERSFIELD, Calif. (KGET) -- Less than 5 weeks from Election Day, the satellite of authorities is getting adjacent much contentious, particularly the contention for California's 22nd Congressional District.
You've astir apt heard of this contention done governmental ads -- the names Rudy Salas and David Valadao are each implicit Central Valley airwaves.
Ahead of Republican incumbent David Valadao and Democrat Rudy Salas' November face-off, Yourcentralvalley.com's sister presumption 17 News breaks down the results of a caller Emerson College/Nexstar canvass connected the race.
The canvass proves what we've agelong been reporting -- CD-22 volition beryllium a difficult-to-predict toss-up.
"I wouldn't person anticipated it to beryllium this adjacent … it's a razor bladed borderline with a batch of undecideds retired there," said Frontier High School past teacher James Maddox.
The conflict for CA-22 -- and its expensive, competitory quality -- is each excessively acquainted for Central Valley voters.
California's 22nd Congressional District helped find the U.S. House bulk successful 2022 and volition bash truthful again successful 2024.
The canvass of 350 "very likely" CA-22 voters shows the contention volition beryllium choky -- 45% would ballot for Republican incumbent David Valadao portion 45.4% would ballot for Democratic challenger Rudy Salas. Ten percent are undecided, each wrong the borderline of mistake of 5.2%.
"I was amazed by however galore undecided voters [in a contention and territory similar this]," Maddox said.
CA-22 encompasses astir of Kings County and parts of Tulare and Kern counties.
About 42% of registered voters are Democrats, 27% are Republicans and 23% person nary enactment preference.
Despite the territory leaning Democratic and Latino, a Republican has repeatedly held office, and Valadao is down Democrat Salas by lone 0.4 percent points.
More than fractional of these respondents accidental they voted for Joe Biden successful 2020.
"Those problems with [Democratic] turnout are the lone reasons it's truly competitory astatine all," Maddox added.
As past shows, debased turnout has been the Achilles bottommost for Democrats successful CA-22.
On the different manus for Republicans, Maddox stated, "Anytime that Trump's connected the ballot, you get a beauteous large turnout."
Worth noting is that Valadao has won each clip Donald Trump was simultaneously connected the ballot.
Our canvass further reveals that antheral voters thin toward Valadao 58% to 31%, portion women thin toward Salas 60% to 31%.
That, Maddox explained, is astir apt owed to Salas' beardown campaigning connected reproductive rights.
Maddox besides noted that nationwide, he's seen young men thin overmuch much conservative, portion young women caput the different direction.
But successful CA-22 specifically, contention and sex are apt not marque oregon interruption factors, Maddox said.
White voters interruption for Valadao, 53% to 33%, portion Hispanic voters are for Salas, 52% to 41%.
As for issues, apical of caput for CA-22 voters are the economy, homelessness and immigration, taxes, termination entree and transgression -- successful that order.
Maddox said migration not being fig 1 shows, "This is not the remainder of America ... All authorities is local."
Those astir acrophobic astir migration favour Valadao implicit Salas, 85% to 15%.
"The Republican party, that is their issue," Maddox noted.
It's the aforesaid for the system -- and 62% of respondents said they've considered leaving California owed to the outgo of living.
Additionally, 62% of respondents said they person made a tradeoff to take betwixt paying for nutrient and their utilities.
Voters who prioritize homelessness interruption for Salas 77% to 14%. That, the canvass suggests, is Salas' apical contented break, though neither campaigner has importantly campaigned connected the topic.
"Both candidates person the imaginable to marque immoderate moves successful the past six weeks here," Maddox said astir undecided voters.
Click here for the afloat canvass results.
