9 months ago
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(NewsNation) — The alignment betwixt erstwhile President Donald Trump and lifelong Democrat, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. changed the election landscape, but its interaction connected the adjacent president is inactive unknown.
Kennedy amazingly endorsed the Republican nominee connected Aug. 23 successful Arizona, earlier joining the 45th President onstage astatine a rally aboriginal that day.
According to The New York Times, Trump considered Kennedy arsenic his imaginable moving mate arsenic aboriginal arsenic April.
Ultimately, they were connected by Tucker Carlson connected the nighttime of the attempted assassination of erstwhile President Trump and spoke connected the phone; some of which was leaked by Kennedy's son, Bobby Kennedy III.
Even with this caller endorsement for erstwhile President Trump, polling is inactive happening contiguous to discern the interaction it could person connected the contention for the White House.
Polling averages showed Kennedy astatine astir 5% nationally earlier helium suspended his campaign. Polling past suggested Kennedy supporters could boost the Republican campaign.
University of Virginia Center for Politics laminitis Larry Sabato told NewsNation that it is not needfully straightforward.
"You tin say, 'Well, if RFK Jr. drops out, it's beauteous evident that 63% of his ballot volition spell to Trump.' It's ne'er that simple, that is truthful superficial," Sabato said.
"This is precise analyzable due to the fact that radical tin spell to different independent, they tin enactment connected the sofa and not vote. They tin determination successful some directions. You'll person immoderate of them spell to Harris, astir apt much of them spell to Trump. But I don't cognize that it's going to magnitude to each that overmuch further enactment for Trump."
According to the latest Decision Desk HQ polling averages from The Hill, some Kamala Harris and Trump person received flimsy boosts; 1% and 2%, respectively, since Kennedy endorsed the latter.
It is unclear whether these numbers are a effect of Kennedy suspending his campaign.
Meanwhile, successful a caller ABC News/Ipsos poll released connected Sunday, 79% of surveyed voters said Kennedy's enactment makes nary quality successful their prime travel November.
Kennedy whitethorn person the largest interaction successful battleground states; wherever helium has urged his supporters to ballot for Trump alternatively of himself.
His sanction volition remain connected the ballot successful immoderate states, contempt attempts to beryllium removed from plaything states.
Wisconsin and Michigan will person Kennedy's sanction connected the ballot aft the Midwestern states declined to scrap his sanction from the ballot box.
