How NewsNation/Decision Desk HQ called Pennsylvania for Trump

7 months ago 24
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(NewsNation) — NewsNation was the archetypal outlet to telephone the contention successful Pennsylvania for Donald Trump and arsenic a result, was besides capable to telephone the contention to the White House for Trump, instantly after.

NewsNation's contention telephone spouse has issued a connection connected however this telephone was made. Read the afloat connection below:

Decision Desk HQ’s Statement connected Our Pennsylvania Race Call

Decision Desk HQ projects that erstwhile President Donald Trump has won Pennsylvania and its 19 electoral votes, capable to elite him arsenic the 47th President of the United States.

How we made this contention call:

We profoundly worth information-sharing and transparency truthful the nationalist knows they tin spot our results. At the clip of this race call, 93% of the ballot successful Pennsylvania was successful – including mail-in ballots and Election Day votes. The information showed:

  • In Philadelphia County and collar counties, including Bucks County, Montgomery County, and Chester County, President Trump was over-performing his 2020 results by much than 5% successful each county.
  • President Trump was over-performing his 2020 results successful agrarian counties crossed Pennsylvania by much than 10%.
  • Despite matching President Joe Biden’s 2020 borderline successful the Pittsburgh country and surrounding Allegheny County, Vice President Kamala Harris’s ballot percentages were insufficient to flooded erstwhile President Trump’s gains elsewhere crossed the state.
  • Bellwether counties, including Erie County, Centre County, and Monroe County, each went for President Biden successful 2020, but flipped to President Trump successful 2024.

Decision Desk HQ has much than a decade-long way grounds of making accurate, independent, and transparent contention calls – including our calls for President successful 2016 and 2020 – and we person continued that grounds successful this predetermination cycle. Ahead of the election, ours was the lone large forecasting exemplary to accurately foretell this election’s result. Before making immoderate contention calls, we deploy our peer-reviewed model to assistance successful our investigation and reappraisal the calls with our Director of Data Science and squad of predetermination analysts. We volition not telephone a contention until it meets each of our requirements. Ultimately, erstwhile making our contention calls successful 2024 arsenic successful erstwhile cycles, we followed the information and our close prediction models and reached the aforesaid decision arsenic the predetermination results.

Learn more about our process for accurately calling races.

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