Here's where Democrats stand in polls at Trump's six-month mark

(The Hill) — Recent polling is coating a mixed representation for Democrats arsenic they look to illustration a way guardant successful the aftermath of their nonaccomplishment to President Donald Trump successful November.

Trump’s support standing remains comfortably underwater arsenic helium reaches the six-month people backmost successful bureau connected Sunday. But portion Democrats person scored immoderate notable victories successful high-profile elections since then, they’ve been unable to propulsion distant from the GOP arsenic the enactment hopes to regroup for the midterms adjacent year.

Data experts said Democrats’ presumption has improved since Trump started his 2nd term, but they inactive person a batch of enactment to bash to triumph backmost spot from the American radical and beryllium poised to instrumentality backmost power of the House.

“You can't conscionable beryllium connected the attack. You can't bushed thing with nothing,” said Democratic pollster Celinda Lake. “We person to amusement and archer what we would do, but I deliberation that we're connected the precipice of a large opportunity, and I anticipation we instrumentality vantage of it.”

Months aft Democrats suffered a large stroke with Trump sweeping each 7 battleground states and the GOP winning power of some houses of Congress, the enactment is inactive seeking to enactment the pieces backmost together.

President Biden and President-Elect Trump exit the White House Washington, D.C., to caput to the Capitol for Inauguration ceremonies for Trump. Will Oliver/UPI Photo

Halfway done the archetypal twelvemonth of Trump’s term, galore information points connected wherever the enactment stands don’t look bright. 

Views of the Democratic Party person been astatine historical lows for a mates months. The percent of registered voters who presumption the enactment favorably reached immoderate of its lowest levels since astatine slightest the commencement of Trump’s archetypal word successful bureau successful YouGov’s average, much than 20 points underwater arsenic of precocious May. 

A CNN canvass released Thursday found lone 28 percent of Americans presumption the enactment favorably, a grounds debased successful the past of the outlet’s polling dating backmost to 1992. 

Views of the Republican Party besides aren’t beardown but haven’t been rather arsenic poor. 

A canvass conducted by the Democratic ace PAC Unite the Country found precocious that voters comprehend the enactment arsenic “out of touch,” “woke” and “weak.” An AP-NORC canvass recovered conscionable implicit a 3rd of Democrats are optimistic astir the party’s future, compared to 57 percent past July.

Surveys person besides shown wide vexation with Democratic leaders and a feeling that Democrats aren’t warring hard capable against the Trump medication and for their voters.

Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., meets with reporters astatine the Capitol successful Washington, Tuesday, June 10, 2025. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

This has been peculiarly pointed against Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.), whose favorability standing has been stuck successful the mid-to-upper 20s passim Trump’s 2nd term, according to the Decision Desk HQ polling average, though his nett favorability has improved somewhat much recently. 

Scott Tranter, the manager of information subject for DDHQ, said Democrats are inactive trying to signifier a coherent connection but don’t person a wide “rallying cry,” though immoderate of them person received attraction arsenic they’ve been arrested during faceoffs with Trump medication officials oregon visited detention centers similar “Alligator Alcatraz” successful Florida. 

“It's beauteous wide that Schumer is not the guy, conscionable based connected his support rating,” Tranter said. “And 1 tin marque the statement that [former House Speaker] Nancy Pelosi’s support standing was underwater arsenic well, but... Schumer doesn't look to person that benignant of gravitas that she did.” 

One different communal inclination successful polling implicit these months is simply a deficiency of statement implicit who the person of the Democratic Party is aft 2024.

WASHINGTON, DC- MARCH 5: Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) listens arsenic witnesses attest during a House Committee connected Oversight and Government Reform proceeding titled "A Hearing with Sanctuary City Mayors" successful Washington, DC connected March 5, 2025. (Photo by Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images)

A CNN canvass found successful March that 30 percent of Democrats didn’t springiness a sanction to respond to a question astir which person champion reflects the party’s halfway values. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) had the astir enactment but with lone 10 percent, portion erstwhile Vice President Harris had 9 percent and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) had 8 percent. 

An Emerson College Poll found Democrats wide divided among the tract of imaginable 2028 statesmanlike contenders, with the starring campaigner lone with 16 percent. 

Tranter said this dynamic is somewhat to beryllium expected pursuing a party’s nonaccomplishment successful the statesmanlike election, pointing to the archetypal months of 2005 for Democrats aft John Kerry’s nonaccomplishment and of 2013 for Republicans aft Mitt Romney’s loss. 

“Coming retired of Kerry, the Democrats were besides successful the wilderness,” helium said. “And truthful I deliberation that the takeaway is that each clip thing similar this happens, each enactment goes done its transformation. I deliberation we're inactive beauteous aboriginal connected it.” 

But the information does amusement immoderate reasons to beryllium optimistic for Democrats.

Trump’s support standing and favorability person consistently been underwater, not abnormal for him adjacent arsenic helium won the November election, but inactive presenting Democrats with an opportunity. 

Democrats person mostly kept a pb successful DDHQ’s mean of the generic legislature ballot since aboriginal March, albeit a tiny 1 of a mates points astatine most. They led connected that question by 1 constituent arsenic of Monday. 

The aforesaid CNN canvass showing disapproval of the Democratic Party recovered Democrats are much motivated to ballot successful adjacent year’s midterms. A canvass from Republican pollster Fabrizio Ward recovered Republicans trailing the generic ballot successful 28 battleground House districts. 

Democrats besides expressed anticipation that the transition of Trump’s “big beauteous bill,” extending Trump’s taxation cuts and expanding borderline information backing but besides cutting Medicaid spending, could springiness them the opportunity they’ve been looking for. 

Multiple polls person shown astatine slightest a plurality of registered voters oregon adults reason it, though galore besides accidental they don’t cognize enough.

“Trump and the Republicans are surely focused connected incredibly unpopular policies that are apt to payment the Democrats that they merit starring into the midterms,” said Ryan O’Donnell, the interim enforcement manager of the progressive polling steadfast Data for Progress. “But Democrats besides person to amusement that they're proceeding people's concerns and actively offering solutions to those concerns to marque their lives amended and much affordable.” 

Lake said the deficiency of a wide person has a affirmative side, arsenic the 2028 Democratic tract volition apt diagnostic galore showing what the Democratic alternate is to Trump. But she said the process of a person oregon a fewer leaders emerging has been slower than successful the past, and she expects that is improbable to beryllium “fixed” earlier the 2026 midterms. 

That volition necessitate having a unified connection if nary unified leader, she said. 

“They request to person a unified dependable and a unified plan, and that program has to see a proactive, populist economical connection astir what we're going to bash and who we're going to combat for,” Lake said. 

Lake’s polling steadfast and the Democratic donor web Way to Win partnered to behaviour a canvass released Thursday evaluating those who voted for President Biden successful 2020 but didn’t ballot successful 2024. The poll, conducted from precocious April to aboriginal June, found galore of those voters didn’t similar either campaigner and didn’t consciousness that Harris had a beardown capable economical connection to person them she would little costs.

Pollsters besides recovered astir of those voters thin toward voting for a Democrat if the midterms were held today. 

Jenifer Fernandez Ancona, the co-founder and vice president of Way to Win, said the feelings of regret that respondents indicated they felt astir not voting, peculiarly arsenic relates to the Medicaid cuts and the outgo of surviving not dropping, springiness the enactment an opening. 

She said the poll, showing the astir anguish about cuts to programs that assistance children and Medicaid, was taken earlier the law’s passage, but those concerns are coming to fruition now. 

“I deliberation you tin usage that, right? You could leverage that to say, ‘The happening you attraction astir the astir is the happening that is really happening. And truthful you request to travel and beryllium a portion of [the] absorption to this,’” Fernandez Ancona said. 

And the firm’s poll, on with different polling, has shown Democrats privation their enactment to spell connected offense.

“The array has been set,” she said. “So the question is, volition we beryllium capable to instrumentality vantage of it? Will we truly thin in? Will we not shy distant from really going connected discourtesy astir this bill? It's each about, tin we prehend the opportunity?”