9 months ago
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Vice President Harris and erstwhile President Trump are locked successful a choky race crossed 7 battleground states arsenic the contention for the White House enters the location stretch, according to caller polling released connected Thursday.
The caller survey from Emerson College Polling and The Hill recovered Harris edging retired Trump successful Georgia (49 percent to 48 percent), Michigan (50 percent to 47 percent) and Nevada (49 percent to 48 percent).
Meanwhile, the polling shows Trump somewhat up successful Arizona (50 percent to 47 percent), North Carolina (49 percent to 48 percent) and Wisconsin (49 percent to 48 percent).
In Pennsylvania, the 2 are tied astatine 48 percent each.
In each cases, the canvass numbers autumn wrong the borderline of error, meaning the contention is fundamentally tied successful each of the plaything states.
“The contention betwixt Kamala Harris and Donald Trump continues to beryllium tight, wrong each state’s borderline of error,” said Spencer Kimball, enforcement manager of Emerson College Polling, successful a statement.
Harris leads Trump among autarkic voters successful six retired of the 7 states polled. The 1 objection is Nevada, wherever Trump leads Harris among independents.
Trump does somewhat amended with pistillate voters successful Arizona. But Harris performs amended than the erstwhile president with women successful the different six battleground states. Harris besides fares amended with voters nether 30 years aged successful each plaything state.
Trump, meanwhile, performs amended crossed the 7 states with antheral voters.
“There is besides a stark sex divide, akin to that of 2020,” Kimball said. “In six of the 7 plaything states, Harris leads Trump among women, however, successful Arizona, Trump has a two-point borderline connected Harris among women voters, a radical that broke for Biden by astir 3 points successful 2020 according to exit polling.”
The polling shows however Democrats’ fortunes person rapidly changed much than a period since President Biden withdrew from the statesmanlike race. Democrats fretted astir their viability successful states similar Michigan with Biden astatine the top, but with Harris arsenic the nominee those states look much competitory again.
Harris is riding a question of momentum pursuing the Democratic National Convention, which was held past week successful Chicago, and observers are watching intimately to spot if that construe to amended canvass numbers for her. But the Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey suggests that adjacent with the newfound vigor astatine the apical of the Democratic ticket, the contention for the White House is inactive a nailbiter.
An aggregate of nationalist surveys compiled by Decision Desk HQ shows Harris starring Trump astir 50 percent to 45 percent.
The caller polling besides reinforced the spot of down-ballot Democrats, a inclination seen successful erstwhile surveys.
In Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — each of which are holding competitory Senate races this twelvemonth — the Democratic Senate candidates are starring their GOP rivals.
In Arizona, Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) leads Republican Kari Lake 49 percent to 42 percent. In Michigan, Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D) is starring Republican Mike Rogers 47 to 41 percent. In Nevada, incumbent Sen. Jacky Rosen (D) is up of GOP rival Sam Brown, 50 to 40 percent. In Pennsylvania, Sen. Bob Casey (D) leads David McCormick 48 to 44 percent. And successful Wisconsin, Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D) edges retired Eric Hovde, 49 to 48 percent.
Meanwhile, successful the North Carolina gubernatorial race, Democrat Josh Stein leads GOP Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson, 47 to 41 percent.
The polling from Emerson College Polling and The Hill was conducted betwixt Aug. 26 and Aug. 28. In Arizona, 720 apt voters were polled with a borderline of mistake of 3.6 percent points. In Michigan and Georgia, 800 apt voters were polled successful each state, with a borderline of mistake for each of 3.4 percent points. In Pennsylvania, 950 apt voters were surveyed with a borderline of mistake of 3.1 percent points. In Nevada, 1,168 apt voters were surveyed with a borderline of mistake of 2.8 percent points; 775 apt voters were polled successful North Carolina with a borderline of mistake of 3.5 percent points. In Wisconsin, 850 apt voters were polled, with a borderline of mistake of 3.3 percent points.
