Donald Trump wins New Hampshire Republican presidential primary, ABC News projects | LIVE

MANCHESTER, New Hampshire -- BREAKING NEWS UPDATE: Donald Trump volition triumph the New Hampshire Republican statesmanlike primary, ABC News projects, based connected investigation of the vote.

Below is our erstwhile report.

Nikki Haley, the past large GOP hostile of Donald Trump, insisted she would not driblet retired if she loses Tuesday's New Hampshire superior to the erstwhile president, who aimed for a commanding triumph to marque a November rematch with President Joe Biden much apt than ever.

Trump's allies were already ramping up unit connected the erstwhile U.N. ambassador to permission the contention if she falls by a ample margin. She has focused sizeable resources connected New Hampshire, hoping to capitalize connected the state's autarkic streak arsenic she looks for an upset oregon astatine slightest a choky nonaccomplishment that could dent Trump's continued domination of Republican politics.

"I'm moving against Donald Trump, and I'm not going to speech astir an obituary," Haley told reporters.

Trump retorted Tuesday, "Let her bash immoderate she wants," saying voters volition present the information to him anyway. His aides person argued for respective days that Haley has nary realistic way if she loses successful New Hampshire.

If Trump wins Tuesday, helium would beryllium the archetypal Republican statesmanlike campaigner to triumph unfastened races successful Iowa and New Hampshire since some states began starring the predetermination calendar successful 1976 - a motion of his continued grip connected the party's astir loyal voters and a proposition that helium would widen his winning streak nary substance however agelong Haley remained successful the race.

Trump won New Hampshire's Republican superior large during his archetypal tally for president successful 2016, though immoderate of his allies mislaid cardinal races during the midterms 2 years ago. Haley has to contend with an hostile who has a heavy enslaved with the GOP basal and has concentrated connected winning New Hampshire decisively capable that it would extremity the competitory signifier of the Republican information battle.

MORE | Can Nikki Haley triumph New Hampshire? What to cognize astir New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation primary

Republican statesmanlike campaigner erstwhile President Donald Trump arrives for a run lawsuit successful Manchester, N.H., Saturday, Jan. 20, 2024.

(AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

There was a Democratic New Hampshire primary, too, but it was unsanctioned and provided nary delegates to the winner. Biden wasn't connected that ballot, opting to hold for upcoming South Carolina.

Were Haley to driblet retired aft Tuesday, that would efficaciously determine the GOP superior connected its 2nd stop, good earlier the immense bulk of Republican voters crossed the state person been capable to vote.

Trump won the Iowa caucuses by 30 points. Haley finished 3rd successful Iowa, down Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who ended his run connected Sunday. Next month's South Carolina superior is the adjacent authorities wherever some Trump and Haley would compete. Haley was doubly elected politician of her location state, but astir each apical elected Republican successful South Carolina backs Trump.

Republican statesmanlike campaigner Nikki Haley, center, addresses members of the media, Tuesday, Jan. 23, 2024, adjacent a polling tract astatine Winnacunnet High School successful Hampton, N.H.

(AP Photo/Steven Senne)

Her run manager circulated a memo Tuesday to donors, supporters and media arguing that it was excessively aboriginal to disregard her way guardant - portion besides tamping down expectations for New Hampshire.

"The governmental people and the media privation to springiness Donald Trump a coronation," Betsy Ankney wrote successful the memo, archetypal reported by The New York Times. "They accidental the contention is over. They privation to propulsion up their hands, aft lone 110,000 radical person voted successful a caucus successful Iowa and say, well, I conjecture it's Trump. That isn't however this works."

About 40% of New Hampshire's registered voters are not affiliated by party. Republicans let those voters to formed GOP superior ballots. That opens Haley's imaginable conjugation to much right-leaning voters who dislike Trump and adjacent Democratic-leaning voters who privation to reason Trump oregon vent frustrations implicit Biden, who declined to run successful his party's unsanctioned superior present aft championing a caller calendar that puts South Carolina first.

Laurie Dufour was among the independents who opted for Haley connected Tuesday. She said she votes astir often for Democrats and would ballot for Biden "in a heartbeat" implicit Trump successful a wide election, though she said she wished Biden would see stepping speech owed to his age.

"I did not privation Trump and she conscionable sounded precise knowledgeable," the 66-year-old said.

Trump, meanwhile, continued to look ahead. He declined Tuesday to accidental whether helium had spoken to DeSantis since helium dropped out, and helium wouldn't remark connected the anticipation of asking DeSantis to beryllium his moving mate. He did accidental helium is consenting to creaseless things implicit with rivals erstwhile they've exited the campaign.

Why Ron DeSantis couldn't shingle Trump's clasp connected the GOP

Scot Stebbins Sr., who attended Trump's Monday evening rally successful a Make America Great Again shot cap, called him "the top president we've had since Abraham Lincoln. He said helium thought the 4 transgression cases and 91 felony counts Trump is facing constituted "a witch hunt."

The past polls successful New Hampshire adjacent astatine 8 p.m. EST. With temperatures supra freezing crossed the astir populous parts of the state, upwind has not been the aforesaid deterrent for voters arsenic it was successful Iowa, which had the coldest caucus time connected grounds with icy roads and temperatures beneath zero degrees Fahrenheit.

Democrats were besides holding a superior Tuesday, but it was dissimilar immoderate successful caller memory.

Biden championed caller Democratic National Committee rules that person the party's 2024 superior process opening connected Feb. 3 successful South Carolina, alternatively than successful Iowa oregon New Hampshire. He argued that Black voters, the party's astir reliable constituency and a captious portion of his triumph successful South Carolina that revived his 2020 superior run aft 3 opening loses, should person a larger and earlier relation successful determining its nominee.

New Hampshire's Democrats, citing authorities laws dictating that their authorities clasp the nation's archetypal superior aft Iowa's caucuses, defied the revamped bid and pushed up with their superior arsenic scheduled.

Biden didn't run present and his sanction wasn't connected the ballot, meaning the state's Democrats could ballot for the president's 2 little-known large superior challengers, Minnesota Rep. Dean Phillips and self-help writer Marianne Williamson. Still, galore of New Hampshire's apical Democrats backed a write-in run that they expected Biden to handily win.

Instead of focusing connected New Hampshire, Biden was joining Vice President Kamala Harris successful bluish Virginia for a rally successful defence of termination rights, which Democrats spot arsenic a winning contented for them crossed the state successful November.

There's a increasing consciousness of inevitability astir November being a reprisal of Biden versus Trump. Both men person been criticized by their opponents implicit property - Biden is 81, Trump 77 - and each has painted the different arsenic unfit for different White House term.

Public sentiment polls suggest astir Americans reason a rematch. An AP-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research canvass successful December recovered that 56% of U.S. adults would beryllium precise oregon somewhat dissatisfied with Biden arsenic the Democratic nominee - and 58% felt the aforesaid astir Trump arsenic the GOP pick.

Trump mislaid New Hampshire successful some of his wide predetermination campaigns. Biden finished a distant 5th successful the Democrats' 2020 superior earlier going connected to triumph the nomination. In the November 2020 election, Biden won 52.7% of the ballot to Trump's 45.4%.